12 November 2014

Space for the day


The BBC has an article by Jonathan Amos about Rosetta:
A European spacecraft is on course for the first, historic landing on a comet. Scientists have released the first picture (above) from the lander after it separated from its "mothership", Rosetta. The Philae spacecraft's image shows the main orbiter and its solar panels as the lander began its descent to the comet.
The mission will shine a light on some mysteries surrounding these icy relics from the formation of our Solar System.
Confirmation of touchdown is expected sometime around 1600 GMT. Success would be a first for space exploration; no mission has previously made a soft landing on a comet.
Part of the difficulty is the very low gravity on the 4km-wide ice mountain. Philae needs to be wary of simply bouncing back into space. As a consequence, on contact it will deploy foot screws and harpoons to try to fasten its position. It will then take a picture of its surroundings, a strange landscape containing deep pits and tall ice spires.
This is, though, an event with a highly uncertain outcome. Earlier, the third "go/no-go" decision was delayed. The thruster system used to push the robot into the surface of the comet at the moment of touchdown could not be primed. "We will just have to rely now on the harpoons, the screws in the feet, or the softness of the surface. It doesn't make it any easier, that's for sure," said lander chief Stephan Ulamec, from the German Space Agency.
The comet's tricky terrain means that Philae could bash into cliffs, topple down a steep slope, or even disappear into a fissure.
ESA's Rosetta mission manager Fred Jansen said that, despite these challenges, he was very hopeful of a positive outcome. "We've analyzed the comet, we've analyzed the terrain, and we're confident that the risks we have are still in the area of the seventy-five percent success ratio that we always felt," he told reporters here at ESA's mission control in Darmstadt, Germany.
Professor Ian Wright, a leading British scientist working on the lander, said he was determined to be upbeat: "We realize this is a risky venture. In a sense that is part of the excitement of the whole thing. Exploration is like that: when you go into the unknown, you're unsure of what you're going to face," he told BBC News.
The prize that awaits a successful landing is immense: the opportunity to sample directly a cosmic wonder. Comets almost certainly hold vital clues about the original materials that went into building the Solar System nearly five billion years ago. One theory holds that they may have been responsible for delivering water to the planets. Another idea is that they could even have "seeded" the Earth with the chemistry needed to help kick-start biology.
Analysis by Science editor David Shukman:
The handshakes are warm but the smiles are brittle here at the European Space Agency's mission control in Darmstadt. As the clock ticks down to the unprecedented attempt at landing on a comet, there's real nervousness in the air.
From the days of the earliest astronauts displaying the Right Stuff, space exploration has always required an ability to remain calm in the face of extraordinary pressure. But managing an audacious operation more than three hundred million miles away, with so much uncertainty about the gravitational pull and a potentially treacherous surface, clearly demands more steel than normal.
A sudden influx of reporters and camera teams, and the arrival of VIPs, has added to the sense of drama. It reminds me of Europe's last great venture to touch down on an alien body: the Huygens mission that descended to the surface of Saturn's moon Titan in 2005. That was a triumph, and astounding images were sent back.
Now, with fingers crossed, there's an open admission that the mission's fate is far too hard to call. No-one will say it, but failure is an option, and success almost too exciting to contemplate.
The comet's co-discoverer Klim Churyumov is in Darmstadt to follow the landing.
Philae's onboard instrumentation will test some of this thinking at 67P, if it can get down safely, and keep working long enough to run its experiments.
The vast distance between the comet and Earth, over five hundred million kilometers, means radio commands take almost half-an-hour to reach the spacecraft.
Nonetheless, the flight team had to put Rosetta on a very precise path, to make sure Philae has the best opportunity of arriving squarely in the chosen landing zone.
Key timings for landing effort (all times GMT) Rosetta delivery manoeuver shortly after 06:00
Latest Go/No-go decision before 07:35
Philae separates from Rosetta 08:35
Confirmation signal at Earth of separation 09:03
Rosetta's post-delivery manoeuvre 09:15
Radio connection established after 10:30
First data from descending Philae after 12:00
Landing of Philae on 67P after 15:30
Confirmation signal at Earth around 16:00
Following separation, the hundred-kilo robot has no means of adjusting its descent; Philae will go where the comet's gravity pulls it. Controllers in Darmstadt will want to hear not only that Philae landed in one piece, but that it is securely fastened to the comet.
The nature and strength of the surface materials are unknown, however. Philae could alight upon terrain whose constitution is anything between rock hard and puff-powder soft. If it can, the robot will endeavour to lock itself in place with screws in its feet and harpoons that fire from its underside.
Not only is landing on a comet an untried technique, but the effort is also having to rely on some relatively old technologies. Rosetta was despatched from Earth to catch 67P in 2004. That means it and Philae were designed and built in the 1990s. Given the conservatism of space engineering, a number of its onboard systems will therefore undoubtedly be 1980s vintage.
But, even if the landing attempt fails, the pictures and measurements of 67P acquired by the Rosetta mothership in recent weeks will be enough to re-write the textbooks.
"The real scientific value of this mission is spread all over Rosetta and its instruments, and the lander is just a part of that," explained ESA flight director Andrea Accomazzo.
"The lander is obviously spectacular; it's the thing the public recognise. But already, even before the landing, the scientific return of Rosetta is orders or magnitude above what we knew about comets previously."

Rico says space is so big, and landing on a moving comet is so hard (and the above photo shows the relative sizes of the comet and the spacecraft) but the ESA site confirms it:
ESA’s Rosetta mission has soft-landed its Philae probe on a comet, the first time in history such an extraordinary feat has been achieved. After a tense wait during the seven-hour descent to the surface of Comet 67P/Churyumov–Gerasimenko, the signal confirming the successful touchdown arrived on Earth at 16:03 GMT (17:03 CET).

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