02 March 2011

Poor Ireland...

...so far from God, so close to England. (A quote, though Rico misremembered it: "Poor Mexico; so far from God and so close to the United States."
But The New York Times has an editorial on the very subject:
Irish voters had every right to be angry at the catastrophic mismanagement of their economy. But the drubbing they administered to Fianna Fail, the longtime ruling party, by itself won’t undo the damage that came from years of lax government oversight and disastrous policy choices.
The new government being put together under Enda Kenny and his center-right Fine Gael party must restore faith in government by fairly apportioning economic sacrifices, aggressively regulating lenders, and ending cozy ties between politicians and bankers. Even then Ireland will have no chance, unless it also gets more enlightened help from its European partners.
Mr. Kenny is rightly seeking to renegotiate the terms of last year’s $112 billion bailout package. European Union leaders demanded deflationary tax increases and spending cuts that make it impossible for Ireland to grow its way out of debt and ruinous interest rates that will deepen those arrears. Funds that cost donors less than three percent must be paid back at close to six percent.
Ireland’s Celtic Tiger boom of the late 1990s was no mirage. Today’s problems began after Ireland started using the euro in 2002 and low interest rates and extremely lax bank regulation ignited a speculative housing bubble. When that burst in 2008, Ireland recklessly guaranteed the full liabilities of its six largest banks with public money. Those liabilities turned out to be far more than the government had or could raise, eventually forcing it into the European bailout. Now most of that borrowed money is going just to keep those banks afloat.
Meanwhile, Ireland’s people have paid a terrible price. Unemployment, under five percent in 2007, is more than thirteen percent and rising. As in the bad-old days Ireland thought it had left behind, growing numbers of young people are moving abroad in search of work.
Mr. Kenny is scheduled to meet Germany’s chancellor, Angela Merkel, and France’s president, Nicolas Sarkozy. Then he attends a special euro-zone summit meeting, which will try to thrash out a grand bargain for restoring financial stability to the currency. That ambitious goal may not yet be in reach. Renegotiating Ireland’s onerous bailout terms is. Irish voters have spoken clearly. European leaders should respond wisely. It is in no country’s interest to lock Ireland into long-term economic ruin.

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