18 December 2012

Statistical death

Josh Voorhees has a Slate article about death in America:
A man shot and killed three people in a home in Colorado recently before turning his handgun on himself. The murder-suicide is generating a fair amount of headlines, no doubt largely because of its timing (only days after the tragedy in Newtown) and location (Longmont, forty miles or so from Aurora). But the kicker of Reuters' quick recap of the incident serves as a reminder that the very broad outlines of the case— that is: four gun deaths— make for a sad story but not necessarily a unique one:
According to a report by the Washington, D.C.-based Violence Policy Center, Colorado was one of ten states where gun deaths outpaced motor vehicle deaths in 2009.
The VPC released its analysis in May of 2012, but the numbers are sure to still catch a lot of people by surprise.
The pro-gun control group based its analysis on Federal data, finding a total of 31,236 firearm-related deaths nationwide (good for a rate of 10.19 per 100,000 people) and 36,361 motor vehicle-related deaths (for a rate of 11.87 per 100,000). For the moment at least, car deaths are still more common nationwide than those caused by firearms, although they may not be for long.
It's worth pointing out that, while gun deaths have largely been on the rise in recent years, the climb has been a gradual one. The national gun-death rate would not be approaching that of motor vehicles if it weren't for the fact that the latter has dropped fairly drastically in the past half decade or so, thanks to an increased effort to make the nation's roads and vehicles safer. Gun-rights advocates will point to the relatively subtle rise of the gun-death's purple line to argue that we don't need to pass more gun restrictions. Gun-control advocates will make the case for what might happen if we were to.
Rico says that, sure, you can lower the rate of death by firearms, but you won't like the solutions...

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