29 June 2016

The crisis in Saudi Araba


Rico's friend Kelley always has much good stuff to say, and this is no exception, about this article:
I've been watching this one unfold. On the one hand, I have the feeling of "Let's you and him fight". Emotionally satisfying, but probably a bad idea. Removing any stable structure, no matter how bad, only opens the door to every flavor of Muslim crazy who wants to inherit control. The Saudis have been sowing the whirlwind for years, and the bills are coming due. They made a devil's bargain with the Wahhabis from the beginning in the early 1930's, when Abdul Azziz al-Saud stormed to political primacy. The Wahhabi's played a very large role in that but, having got the bit in their teeth, they proved nigh impossible to rein in. But every revolution must have an end, and Abdul Azziz lured them into an ambush and massacred thousands. They've not challenged the government since, but the governments owes them, big time.
Iran (aka Persia) is one of those sleeping giants. The revolution led by Ayatollah Khomeni marks the first time Iran has been in control of its own political destiny in nearly two hundred years. It was a real sea change for the Shia. As punishment for not coming to the support of Prince Ali (grandson of Mohammed) at the Battle of Karbala, the Shia have, for centuries, felt that their second-class citizenhood was deserved and (like dippy Christians) felt that this world was to be endured for a reward in heaven. Khomeni changed all that, and now they flexing their muscles. Every country in the Middle East has a Shia minority. But in some countries, like Saudi Arabia, it's a sizable minority, centered in the northwest corner of the Kingdom where we find the largest, richest oil fields, the Ghawar, and the Raz-al-Tanurah refinery, the largest refinery and shipping port). The Shia are the majority in that province.
The United States) promoted fire-breathing Islam all during the Cold War in the hope that the 'donkeys of the earth' would not hear the siren call of Communism , and we have raised up a healthy, surly junk-yard dog.
Lastly, I've been seeing articles claiming Saudi Arabia and Iran are locked in a struggle for the soul of Islam: the Wahhabis against the Ayatollahs. Maybe so. All-in-all, it's an interesting, if volatile, stew that we see boiling. There will be a shit storm if it blows.

No comments:

Post a Comment

No more Anonymous comments, sorry.