01 July 2015

Greecing the skids


Slate has an article by Elliot Hannon and Jeremy Stahl about Greece:
After effectively defaulting on a debt repayment to the IMF, Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras (photo) indicated that his country would be willing to accept previously rejected bailout terms with some minor modifications. Tsipras had originally called a referendum for Sunday on the terms, but, following the default, he sent a letter to the nation’s creditors, The New York Times reports, saying Greece would be open to a deal:
in the letter, Tsipras said he was prepared to accept the European Commission’s proposal of 28 June 2015, with five amendments on issues that had been particular sticking points.
He continued to ask for a lower value-added tax on Greek islands, for instance, to help bolster tourism and compensate for the high price of delivering goods to such areas. And he still objected to a system of automatically adjusting pension payments according to the financial strength of the underlying pension funds rather than relying on government assistance to maintain the payments. But he accepted the bulk of what the Europeans had asked for in their last proposal, including creating strong disincentives to early retirement. The offer has the potential to resolve the spiraling financial crisis that had seemed to put the country at risk of being forced out of the Eurozone.
The painful process of whatever-this-all-turns-out-to-be is not yet over. Once the country fails to make a payment to a private creditor, like the two billion euros worth of Treasury bills that are coming due on 10 July 201, Greece will officially be in default in every language. That means there is still more to lose and, therefore, more negotiating to be done.
But Tuesday still was not a good day in Greece. How not good?
The Associated Press said: “Greece slipped deeper into a financial abyss …”
The New York Times said: “Greece added its name to a roster that includes some of the world’s poorest and worst-governed nations, including Iraq, Sudan, Somalia, and Zimbabwe.”
European stocks dipped, as did the euro against the US dollar, but the declines were smaller than earlier this week when the government shutdown the banking system and called a referendum. Greek banks will remain closed until Monday.
The Greeks are set to go to the polls on 5 July 2015, to vote on a referendum on whether to accept the creditors' repayment terms. While simultaneously negotiating a new, restructured bailout to keep Greece afloat, Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras’ call for a referendum has ratcheted up pressure on everyone involved. European leaders have urged him to cancel the vote. German Chancellor Angela Merkel countered by saying no negotiations will take place until the Greeks have gone to the polls to decide on whether to accept the creditors' offer, which would require pension cuts and a sales tax hike.
“Greek officials were also raising doubts over their plans for a referendum planned for Sunday, in which the government had asked its citizens to vote against pension cuts and sales-tax increases demanded by its creditors,” the Journal reports. “Some officials suggested that Tsipras and his ministers could campaign for a “yes” if a better offer from the rest of the eurozone and the IMF was on the table, while others indicated that the vote might even be called off altogether.”
Rico says it's like that old line about Richard Nixon: why is this man laughing?

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