02 March 2014

More nasty white shit


John Bolaris has an article at Philly.com about the recent storm:
Could Monday's snowstorm be the biggest ever to hit Philadelphia in March? The possibility does exist as I analyze the very latest computer guidance. The Number One snowstorm for March was nearly twelve inches in 1993, followed by the infamous blizzard of 1888, which dropped over ten inches. The 1958 snowstorm of ten inches is the third biggest. As of now, I'm forecasting the possibility of eight to twelve inches of snow by the time the storm pulls away.
A storm that is relieving the drought in Southern California will rapidly move east and generate a series of storms spreading across the Southern Plains, Gulf states, Tennessee Valley, the Southeast, the Mid-Atlantic, and arriving in the Northeast by Sunday evening. At the same time a polar front with bitterly cold air will approach the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic from the Great Lakes. This polar front will act as a track for two waves of low pressure (two distinct storm systems) to ride up along a spread a huge path of snow, sleet, freezing rain and severe thunderstorms.
The first wave will approach the Delaware Valley with a mix of rain, sleet, and snow. As we move into the Monday morning rush, however, the second storm system will take over at the same time polar air comes funneling down from the north and west.
The second storm is loaded with Pacific and Gulf of Mexico moisture. The combination of rapidly falling temperatures with this moisture supply spells big trouble for just about the entire Delaware Valley.
The heaviest snow belt seems to be setting up right along the I-95 corridor, as it has most of this winter, but this time the highest snow amounts appears to be setting up east of the Delaware River, across southern New Jersey and central and northern Delaware. This area stands the best chance of exceeding twelve inches of snow.
Computer models have been trending colder and consistently more eastward with the heaviest amounts of snow. What I will be watching closely is to see if this eastward shift continues, keeping the highest snow amounts east of the city across southern New Jersey.
In summary, this will be a a high impact storm, meaning major disruption of travel, widespread school closings, and at least six inches of snow in the city of Philadelphia.
Currently calling for eight to twelve inches, with the best chance of seeing the twelve-inch amounts across southern New Jersey and parts of Delaware.
Also watching a possible sharp cut-off in the heavy snow amounts as you head north into Upper Bucks and into the Lehigh Valley as the heavy snow banding projection has been steadily shifting south and east.
One note: the storm will likely not make a high impact in New York City or on Long Island, as the heaviest snow should remain south.
Rico says that we 'only' got four inches, not the walloping that Jersey got...

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