10 April 2008

Rice wars

Seems the international trade in rice has a disturbance in the Force: "As rice prices soar toward $1,000 a ton, governments across Asia brace for possible unrest as the region's staple food becomes less affordable and less available... Governments of rice-importing countries such as the Philippines are scrambling to get their hands on rice even at inflated prices. Rice-producing countries such as Cambodia, Vietnam, India and China have curbed exports, constricting global supply... With rice selling at about $1,000 a ton, many fear the staple soon will be beyond the reach of Asia's poorest people. That could cause widespread hunger, push more into poverty and possibly provoke food riots. Paul Risley, the United Nations World Food Program's spokesman in Asia, says some of the 28 million "poorest of the poor" it feeds could go hungry because the agency cannot afford to buy grain... Although hoarding is part of the problem, rice industry experts say the price surge also is the result of Asia's rapid development, climate change, and the low priority given to agriculture... In the 1970s, the so-called Green Revolution in Asia increased rice production, and kept prices low. But growing rice became unprofitable as fertilizer, irrigation and labor costs rose. Production also fell as factories, golf courses and housing developments took over rice paddies. In China, land used for rice cultivation decreased by three million hectares from 1997 to 2006. Recently, the growing biofuels industry has encouraged farmers to plant corn instead. Global rice stocks are at the lowest in two decades. At the same time, Asia's appetite grew - especially in rapidly developing India and China, where a rising middle class is eating more. On top of that, high oil prices raise the cost of growing rice and shipping it to markets. And, in recent years, pests damaged crops in Vietnam and drought severely reduced rice exports from Australia... In the next few months, shortages may ease as harvests are completed in the Philippines and Thailand. But it is not clear whether this would be enough to halt skyrocketing prices. Experts warn the era of cheap rice may be over."

Rico says he wants to know what happened to all the rice we were growing and exporting. It can't all have been in Louisiana. And, according to the USDA stats, worldwide rice production is up over four million metric tons over last year, so it's gotta be being hoarded somewhere...

2 comments:

  1. Well, its bio-fuels.

    Enter Murphy's Law of Unintended Consequences:

    As the cost of growing rice increases, it becomes more profitable to grow corn for the bio-fuels industry. This removes acreage used for growing food. Remember the problem with Mexico last year and the increasing cost of corn making it too expensive for the poor to buy tacos?

    ReplyDelete
  2. Anonymous10.4.08

    Murphy had a say. But I think it's a much larger problem than last years tacos. How big is your spread and where do you obtain your resources?

    ReplyDelete

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